the wire — the call before each show (RSS) ↗
· The Phish Edition · Friday, September 4, 2026 · an almanac, printed as they play
Think you can out-call the robots? Tap the songs you bet Phish plays tonight, 🔒 lock your surest one, 🎲 dare a deep cut for bonus — then watch the morning-after grade. No signup: you get a ticket stub to check tomorrow.
Tonight’s picks are in — the wall’s up. Results post the morning after the show. Got a stub? Check it below.
No show on the board right now. When the next one’s announced, this is where you call it before the robots do.
Got a ticket stub? Check your night.
Every lab’s whole hand, face-up before the show — posted early and held. The only thing that moves before the lock: songs the band just played drop off once last night’s show grades. Then it seals exactly as shown.
FILED SAT AUG 1 · PROVISIONAL UNTIL 5:00 PM ET FRI
The robots have laid their cards. Your move. Tap in the setlist you’d call, lock it before the show — graded the morning after, same ledger as the bots.
† a lone call — no other lab took it. Most songs called the morning after wins the night.
⚿ On the list — the call lands before each show. No spam, ever.
Not a season or all-time average — early club sets and today’s long-jam two-sets aren’t the same animal, so an all-years number would lie. We take the last 12 shows of the same type (a real two-set night vs a festival / one-set), count the songs in each, and average — rounded to the nearest song. As-of only: it never counts a show that hasn’t happened yet, so it’s the same number we could have posted that morning.
the 12 two-set shows it averaged (songs each, newest first)
Then the room gets a say: Dick's Sporting Goods Park ran 20.3 across its last 40 two-set nights here, so we lean the rolling 19 toward it — a venue never gets more than half the vote, so it informs the night without overriding it. That lands at ~20.
Rolling 18.8 → 19, leaned to ~20 for the room. The count is a call too — the Reckoning sets what we called next to what they actually played. Song counts only here — never a setlist (those live at phish.net).
all 5 calledDown with Disease
| song | crstlbl | gpt | local | medium | opus | called |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Down with Disease | 5/5 | |||||
| Possum | 4/5 | |||||
| Bathtub Gin | 4/5 | |||||
| Slave to the Traffic Light | 4/5 | |||||
| Stash | 4/5 | |||||
| Wolfman's Brother | 4/5 | |||||
| Run Like an Antelope | 3/5 | |||||
| Ghost | 3/5 | |||||
| Sand | 3/5 | |||||
| Also Sprach Zarathustra | 3/5 | |||||
| Cavern | 3/5 | |||||
| David Bowie | 3/5 | |||||
| Weekapaug Groove | 3/5 | |||||
| Mike's Song | 3/5 | |||||
| Blaze On | 3/5 | |||||
| First Tube | 3/5 | |||||
| Bouncing Around the Room | 3/5 | |||||
| Ruby Waves | 3/5 | |||||
| Chalk Dust Torture | 2/5 | |||||
| Harry Hood | 2/5 | |||||
| Golgi Apparatus | 2/5 | |||||
| Reba | 2/5 | |||||
| Fuego | 2/5 | |||||
| Split Open and Melt | 2/5 | |||||
| Maze | 2/5 | |||||
| Runaway Jim | 2/5 | |||||
| Tube | 2/5 | |||||
| Light | 2/5 |
15 lone calls not shown here — marked † on the cards.
You against the machines. Every fan who plays seals a call before doors and rides the same ledger as the bots — base hit +1, a landed 🔒 Lock +3, a cold 🎲 Bold deep cut +5. Claim your stub to put a name on a card; beat the House line and you’ve out-called the robots.
No one’s claimed a card yet — the board’s wide open. Call tonight’s setlist up top, save your stub, and the morning after you’re the first name on the people’s ladder.
2026-08-01 — how the panel called it against what they played. Most songs called wins the night — honest as the morning.
The take — Medium delivered the decisive blow, correctly identifying nine of the set, a performance that utterly silenced the competition, including a shockingly blank slate from the house.
See every lab’s full call from this night — the back issue →
Before the real race, a dry run: each lab predicted the last 1 shows that already happened — leak-safe, seeing only what it would have the morning of each — and we scored them. A tune-up, not the main event.
| Lab | W | Hit | Shows | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | opusclaude-opus-4-5 · cloud | 1 | 28% | 1 |
| 2. | localqwen2.5:7b-instruct-q4_0 · local | 0 | 6% | 1 |
| 3. | gptgpt-5.1 · cloud | 0 | 0% | 1 |
| 4. | housem2 · statistical | 0 | 0% | 1 |
opus led the tune-up. The morning after the first live show, the real Standings below start filling in — and the field gets a shot to prove the warm-up wrong.
The labs, one ledger. Each seals its call before doors; the morning after, every pick is scored. Whoever calls the most of the setlist wins the night, and most nights won leads the race — average hit-rate settles ties. The standings never forget. Each name is a seat, not a fixed model — the brain behind it can change at any time (the current one rides on every card); models are interchangeable.
| Guesser | W | Hit | Shows | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | mediumblend · every brain | 8 | 18% | 17 |
| 2. | gptgpt-5.1 · cloud | 7 | 21% | 17 |
| 3. | crstlbllearned · on-box | 7 | 17% | 17 |
| 4. | localqwen2.5:7b-instruct-q4_0 · local | 4 | 15% | 14 |
| 5. | opusclaude-opus-4-5 · cloud | 2 | 15% | 17 |
| 6. | housem2 · statistical | 2 | 13% | 17 |
How a night is won: whoever calls the most of the songs actually played that night wins it — the eye test, plain and simple. W is nights won; Hit is the share of a lab’s picks that landed. A tied night is shared — every lab that calls the most takes the win; hit-rate only orders the standings.
Most nights won leads; hit-rate breaks ties. Public pick-’em and your own bot are coming — soon you’ll seal a call before doors and ride the same ledger as the machines.
★ Last time at Dick's Sporting Goods Park — Sep 1, 2024 · 19 songs. the setlist at phish.net →
Our call for how tonight bookends — the most likely OPENER, ENCORE, and set-CLOSER, weighed by who’s hot AND who tends to fill the role. A separate bet from the setlist; graded Saturday against what actually played.
Crowd Control · Soul Shakedown Party · Walfredo
Sleeping Monkey · Free Bird · Show of Life
Starship Trooper Jam · Moonage Daydream · Dear Mrs. Reagan
Presence × role-rate, computed as-of tonight — no peeking at the result. The opener & encore call is graded after the show.
Repertoire regulars the band is overdue to dust off — ranked by how many of their OWN typical gaps they’ve blown past, not by raw time cold. Six shows cold means nothing for a rarity and a lot for a song they usually play every three. Smart money, not a long shot.
| song | cold | usual gap | overdue |
|---|---|---|---|
| Poor Heart | 83 | 6.0 | 10.0× |
| My Sweet One | 78 | 7.1 | 10.0× |
| The Oh Kee Pa Ceremony | 103 | 8.1 | 10.0× |
| Uncle Pen | 351 | 6.9 | 10.0× |
| The Curtain | 195 | 14.6 | 10.0× |
| Take the 'A' Train | 1344 | 5.4 | 10.0× |
Cadence counted from phish.net — the “overdue” multiple is shows-cold ÷ the song’s usual interval. Almanac fun, not a wager.
The deep freeze — real regulars that haven’t surfaced in ages. A morning line just for fun (no money, just glory); the longer the wait, the longer the odds. If one of these drops, the room comes unglued.
Nobody’s reaching for the deep freeze tonight — the labs are playing the hits. The long shots below are still lurking.
| song | cold | last seen | the line |
|---|---|---|---|
| Donna Lee | 1381 | 1993-07-25 | 499-1 |
| Take the 'A' Train | 1344 | 1994-04-13 | 499-1 |
| Memories | 1284 | 1994-07-06 | 499-1 |
| If I Only Had a Brain | 1168 | 1995-11-16 | 499-1 |
| Acoustic Army | 1153 | 1995-12-08 | 499-1 |
| Caravan | 1071 | 1996-12-29 | 499-1 |
| All Things Reconsidered | 1060 | 1997-02-23 | 499-1 |
| Amazing Grace | 946 | 1998-10-03 | 499-1 |
Counted from phish.net, never reprinted — the line is a bit of almanac fun, not a wager.
The long view, kept the old way — what’s overdue, what’s hot, and where a song tends to land in the night. Counted from phish.net, not reprinted from it.
| Tweezer | 12 |
| Run Like an Antelope | 6 |
| Harry Hood | 6 |
| Free | 6 |
| Possum | 5 |
tends to start the nightCrowd Control · The Star-Spangled Banner · Buried Alive
tends to send you homeWalls of the Cave · Run Like an Antelope · Drift While You're Sleeping
Trends are our compilation of phish.net event facts — we link out, never reprint a setlist. browse the source at phish.net →
We don’t ask the labs to be clever — every lab in the race gets the identical question. Same rules, same evidence, same format; the only thing that changes is the model answering. That’s what makes the race fair — and why we can show you exactly what we ask.
We show the shape, not the data dump — the setlists themselves live at phish.net (we link, never reprint). The candidate pool and recent setlists are filled fresh from our KB for each show.
Every reckoned night, newest first — tap a night for the full reckoning: what each lab called against what actually played. The record never scrolls away.
You’ve seen tonight’s calls — get the morning line in your inbox. We write when the robot grades itself (the hits, the blown calls) and when a new band joins the almanac. Nothing else, ever.
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