⌛ Guesses lock in --h --m --s A sealed call for Bojangles Coliseum · Charlotte, NC goes on the record when this clock hits zero — watch the robots stick out their necks.

the wire — the call before each show (RSS) ↗

27 reckonings on the books Vol. I · No. 28

Next Setlist

· The Widespread Panic Edition ·  Wednesday, December 30, 2026 · an almanac, printed as they play

Adm. One — No. 28
★ nextsetlist ★
Bojangles Coliseum — Charlotte, NC
WED · DECEMBER 30, 2026

Play Along

♯ call it yourself

Think you can out-call the AI? Tap the songs you bet Widespread Panic plays tonight, 🔒 lock your surest one, 🎲 dare a deep cut for bonus — then watch the morning-after grade. No signup: you get a ticket stub to check tomorrow.

Got a ticket stub? Check your night.

The Big Board

★ provisional

The AI’s whole hand, face-up before the show — posted early and held. The only thing that moves before the lock: songs the band just played drop off once last night’s show grades. Then it seals exactly as shown.

FILED SAT OCT 31 · PROVISIONAL UNTIL 5:00 PM ET WED

The AI
claude-haiku-4-5 · briefed by the house stats first
⌛ Provisional
Bojangles ColiseumCharlotte, NCDec 30Wed 5:00 PM ET
  1. 1Ain't Life Grand47%
  2. 2Barstools and Dreamers46%
  3. 3Machine45%
  4. 4C. Brown44%
  5. 5Diner43%
  6. 6Wondering43%
  7. 7Love Tractor42%
  8. 8Honky Red40%
  9. 9Walkin' (For Your Love)40%
  10. 10Climb to Safety38%
  11. 11We Walk Each Other Home36%
  12. 12Pigeons35%
  13. 13Travelin' Light34%
  14. 14Rebirtha33%
  15. 15Drums32%
  16. 16Second Skin31%
  17. 17Goodpeople30%
  18. 18You Got Yours29%
  19. 19Blue Carousel28%
  20. 20Pickin' Up the Pieces25%
20 songshow it’s built ↗
The People
you vs. the AI
▶ Open seat
  1. 1Emma Collins0
  2. 2Ryan Collins0
2 playing · beat the AI to winthe people ↗play along ↗
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The over–under~20songs expected tonight — this reads as a full two-set night, and the last 12 two-set shows averaged 20.3. Each lab calls its 20 most likely; the count is a call too, settled in the Reckoning.
how this is figured

Not a season or all-time average — early club sets and today’s long-jam two-sets aren’t the same animal, so an all-years number would lie. We take the last 12 shows of the same type (a real two-set night vs a festival / one-set), count the songs in each, and average — rounded to the nearest song. As-of only: it never counts a show that hasn’t happened yet, so it’s the same number we could have posted that morning.

the 12 two-set shows it averaged (songs each, newest first)

Oct 3124 Oct 3024 Oct 2520 Oct 2419 Oct 2319 Oct 1118 Oct 1019 Sep 1921 Sep 1818 Aug 1620 Aug 1522 Aug 1420

Average 20.3 → ~20. The count is a call too — the Reckoning sets what we called next to what they actually played. Song counts only here — never a setlist (those live at setlist.fm).

The People

★ fans vs the AI

You against the AI. Every fan who plays seals a call before doors and rides the same ledger as it — base hit +1, a landed 🔒 Lock +3, a cold 🎲 Bold deep cut +5. Claim your stub to put a name on a card; beat the AI’s line and you’ve out-called it.

Last show’s sharpest fan
Ryan Collins — 0 pts · topped 1 other
The AI▲ The Line
47pts9 shows
the line to beat
1Emma Collins
0pts1 show
claimed fan
2Ryan Collins
0pts1 show
claimed fan
The Crowd☀ The Crowd
0pts1 show
every fan, pooled

Claimed names only (anonymous picks still check their own stub). The AI and The Crowd (every fan’s picks pooled) ride along as benchmark cards — finish a season above the AI’s line and you’ve beaten it. Points post the morning after each show.

Last Night’s Reckoning

box score

2026-10-25 — how the panel called it against what they played. Most songs called wins the night — honest as the morning.

20
Played
5
Most called · 36%
called the mostai5/20 songs called
✓HitsChilly Water · Hatfield · Papa's Home · Pilgrims · Porch Song
We don’t print the whole setlist here — that’s their story to tell. See the official record → the full setlist at setlist.fm →.

The take — The AI may have missed in a spectacular fashion, but in this game of musical prediction, it's a clean miss for both contestants—no winner here.

See every lab’s full call from this night — the back issue →

Every past reckoning — the back issues →

Tonight's Bookends

◆ opener & encore call

Our call for how tonight bookends — the most likely OPENER, ENCORE, and set-CLOSER, weighed by who’s hot AND who tends to fill the role. A separate bet from the setlist; graded Saturday against what actually played.

Likely Opener starts the night

Let's Get Down to Business · Send Your Mind · The Take Out

Likely Encore the send-off

Keep Me in Your Heart · May Your Glass Be Filled · End of the Show

Likely Closer caps a set

Love Tractor · Chilly Water · Climb to Safety

Presence × role-rate, computed as-of tonight — no peeking at the result. The opener & encore call is graded after the show.

The Due List

⏳ what’s overdue

Repertoire regulars the band is overdue to dust off — ranked by how many of their OWN typical gaps they’ve blown past, not by raw time cold. Six shows cold means nothing for a rarity and a lot for a song they usually play every three. Smart money, not a long shot.

songcoldusual gapoverdue
Weight of the World724.410.0×
It Ain't No Use1607.310.0×
She Caught the Katy and Left Me a Mule to Ride42813.710.0×
L.a.24115.510.0×
Cotton Was King626.110.0×
Glory15715.610.0×

Cadence counted from setlist.fm — the “overdue” multiple is shows-cold ÷ the song’s usual interval. Almanac fun, not a wager.

Bustout Watch

✶ the long shots

The deep freeze — real regulars that haven’t surfaced in ages. A morning line just for fun (no money, just glory); the longer the wait, the longer the odds. If one of these drops, the room comes unglued.

Nobody’s reaching for the deep freeze tonight — the labs are playing the hits. The long shots below are still lurking.

songcoldlast seenthe line
Sugaree29481988-10-02499-1
China Cat Sunflower29051989-02-01499-1
Not Fade Away29011989-02-14499-1
The Other One28991989-03-11499-1
Cryptical Envelopment28991989-03-11499-1
Me and My Uncle28911989-05-05499-1
I Know You Rider26121991-07-06499-1
Dog Song24561992-05-24499-1

Counted from setlist.fm, never reprinted — the line is a bit of almanac fun, not a wager.

The Question

❖ what we ask the AI

We don’t ask the AI to be clever on its own — it’s handed the house/crstlbl statistical read first, then asked to make its own call. Same rules, same evidence, same format every time. That’s why we can show you exactly what we ask.

You are a setlist handicapper for Widespread Panic. Predict the songs they will play at their NEXT show — one that has not happened yet. You win the night by calling the MOST of the actual setlist right, so name your best full set, not a timid few. RULES OF THIS BAND: — They almost never repeat a song within the same run. If it was just played in the last show or two, it is UNLIKELY tonight. — Favor songs hot in the current rotation, and songs that are “due” (gone a while but still regulars). — Aim for about [tonight’s expected set length] songs. OUR INTERNAL MODEL’S FORECAST: [the house + crstlbl statistical models’ blended ranked read — weigh it heavily, but you may deviate] CHOOSE ONLY FROM: [the hottest rotation songs in our KB] THE LAST FEW SETLISTS: [the last 8 shows, in play order] Return ONLY JSON: {"songs":[{"song":"…","confidence":0.0–1.0}, …]}

We show the shape, not the data dump — the setlists themselves live at setlist.fm (we link, never reprint). The candidate pool, recent setlists, and the internal forecast are filled fresh from our KB for each show.

Back Issues

❧ the rolling record · 27 on file

Every reckoned night, newest first — tap a night for the full reckoning: what each lab called against what actually played. The record never scrolls away.

Sat, Oct 31, 2026Kiefer UNO Lakefront Arena — New Orleans, LAcrstlbl · 4/24 calledFri, Oct 30, 2026Kiefer UNO Lakefront Arena — New Orleans, LAhouse · 8/22 calledSun, Oct 25, 2026Riverside Theater — Milwaukee, WIcrstlbl & ai · 5/20 calledSat, Oct 24, 2026Riverside Theater — Milwaukee, WIai · 4/19 calledFri, Oct 23, 2026Riverside Theater — Milwaukee, WIcrstlbl · 5/19 calledSun, Oct 11, 2026Radians Amphitheater — Memphis, TNai & crstlbl · 3/18 calledSat, Oct 10, 2026Radians Amphitheater — Memphis, TNai · 6/19 calledSat, Sep 19, 2026Live Oak Bank Pavilion — Wilmington, NChouse · 7/21 calledFri, Sep 18, 2026Live Oak Bank Pavilion — Wilmington, NCgpt · 7/18 calledSun, Aug 16, 2026Hard Rock Live at the Etess Arena — Atlantic City, NJmedium · 8/20 calledSat, Aug 15, 2026Hard Rock Live at the Etess Arena — Atlantic City, NJcrstlbl & medium · 7/22 calledFri, Aug 14, 2026Hard Rock Live at the Etess Arena — Atlantic City, NJtrial · 6/20 called

Every reckoning on the books — the full archive →

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