· The Reckoning · Saturday, July 25, 2026 · Orpheum Theatre — Los Angeles, CA
The Reckoning
✦ what we called · what we hitEvery guesser’s full sealed call, graded song by song — ✓ marks a hit. Most songs called won.
| Guesser | Model | Hit/Called | Hit % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | medium | stack-v1-rrf | 10/21 | 48% |
| 2. | crstlbl | m4-gbm | 9/16 | 56% |
| 3. | local | local:gemma3:latest | 8/19 | 42% |
| 4. | gpt | gpt:gpt-5.1 | 7/16 | 44% |
| 5. | opus | opus:claude-opus-4-5 | 6/17 | 35% |
| 6. | house | m2-recency-hotness | 3/13 | 23% |
medium called — ✓ Porch Song · Ain't Life Grand · C. Brown · ✓ All Time Low · ✓ Driving Song · Travelin' Light · Little by Little · ✓ Fishwater · ✓ Hatfield · ✓ Walkin' (For Your Love) · ✓ Space Wrangler · Pleas · ✓ We Walk Each Other Home · Drums · ✓ Bust It Big · Airplane · Holden Oversoul · Tie Your Shoes · ✓ Love Tractor · Ride Me High · You Got Yours
crstlbl called — Little by Little · ✓ Hatfield · Drums · ✓ Walkin' (For Your Love) · ✓ Fishwater · C. Brown · ✓ Space Wrangler · Pleas · ✓ All Time Low · ✓ Porch Song · ✓ We Walk Each Other Home · Ain't Life Grand · Airplane · ✓ Driving Song · ✓ Bust It Big · Travelin' Light
local called — Ride Me High · ✓ Driving Song · Little by Little · ✓ Love Tractor · ✓ We Walk Each Other Home · ✓ Space Wrangler · Holden Oversoul · Ain't Life Grand · ✓ All Time Low · Tie Your Shoes · You Got Yours · ✓ Honky Red · Dark Bar · ✓ Walkin' (For Your Love) · C. Brown · ✓ Hatfield · Junior · Little Kin · Sandbox
gpt called — Ain't Life Grand · ✓ Porch Song · ✓ Fishwater · Pleas · ✓ Driving Song · Holden Oversoul · ✓ Bust It Big · ✓ Love Tractor · Goodpeople · ✓ Walkin' (For Your Love) · Little by Little · Ride Me High · ✓ All Time Low · Tie Your Shoes · Travelin' Light · C. Brown
opus called — ✓ Porch Song · Travelin' Light · Drums · Ain't Life Grand · ✓ Space Wrangler · Holden Oversoul · ✓ Fishwater · ✓ Driving Song · I'm Not Alone · ✓ All Time Low · You Got Yours · Tie Your Shoes · Pleas · C. Brown · ✓ Hatfield · Junior · Little Kin
house called — ✓ We Walk Each Other Home · ✓ Porch Song · Travelin' Light · Thought Sausage · Chainsaw City · Stop Breakin' Down Blues · Blue Carousel · Sharon · ✓ Vacation · Happy · I'm So Glad · Sleeping Man · Arleen
We print every call we made and which ones hit (✓) — our own sealed predictions, never the whole setlist. See the official record → setlist.fm.
Out of Cold Storage
❄ what had been gone the longestSongs this band had not touched in a long time, coldest first. The tag is how deep into their own back catalogue it reaches.
- Meeting of the Waters1,187 shows coldlast played October 26, 200312.2× its usual spacingdeep freeze
- Galleon148 shows coldlast played August 10, 20223.4× its usual spacingcold
- Last Dance97 shows coldlast played September 15, 20233.1× its usual spacingcold
- Roadhouse Blues90 shows coldlast played December 29, 2023cold
- Breathing Slow81 shows coldlast played April 14, 20242.3× its usual spacingcold
Coldest of the night: Meeting of the Waters, gone 1,187 shows. Gaps count shows, not days — and how cold is "cold" is measured against this band’s own history, so the bar moves with the catalogue. Full setlist → setlist.fm.