· The Reckoning · Friday, July 24, 2026 · Orpheum Theatre — Los Angeles, CA
The Reckoning
✦ what we called · what we hitEvery guesser’s full sealed call, graded song by song — ✓ marks a hit. Most songs called won.
| Guesser | Model | Hit/Called | Hit % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | house | m2-recency-hotness | 9/13 | 69% |
| 2. | medium | stack-v1-rrf | 9/21 | 43% |
| 3. | crstlbl | m4-gbm | 7/15 | 47% |
| 4. | local | local:gemma3:latest | 5/16 | 31% |
| 5. | gpt | gpt:gpt-5.1 | 5/17 | 29% |
| 6. | opus | opus:claude-opus-4-5 | 4/17 | 24% |
house called — We Walk Each Other Home · Porch Song · ✓ Halloween Face · ✓ Jack · ✓ Disco · Travelin' Light · ✓ Postcard · ✓ Down · ✓ Party at Your Mama's House · ✓ Sewing Machine · ✓ Protein Drink · Thought Sausage · ✓ Action Man
medium called — Porch Song · Travelin' Light · ✓ Pigeons · Space Wrangler · Fishwater · ✓ Jack · ✓ Disco · Walkin' (For Your Love) · Little by Little · ✓ Halloween Face · We Walk Each Other Home · Thought Sausage · ✓ Action Man · ✓ Makes Sense to Me · ✓ Imitation Leather Shoes · Pleas · ✓ Greta · ✓ Ribs and Whiskey · You Got Yours · Hatfield · Bust It Big
crstlbl called — Walkin' (For Your Love) · Fishwater · ✓ Pigeons · Space Wrangler · Porch Song · Little by Little · ✓ Jack · Travelin' Light · ✓ Makes Sense to Me · ✓ Disco · Thought Sausage · ✓ Imitation Leather Shoes · ✓ Halloween Face · We Walk Each Other Home · ✓ Action Man
local called — Little by Little · Pleas · ✓ Greta · Space Wrangler · Porch Song · ✓ Pigeons · You Got Yours · ✓ Ribs and Whiskey · Bust It Big · Little Lilly · Travelin' Light · Fishwater · Hatfield · ✓ Disco · ✓ Jack · One Arm Steve
gpt called — Pleas · ✓ Greta · Space Wrangler · Porch Song · ✓ Pigeons · All Time Low · Tie Your Shoes · ✓ Ribs and Whiskey · You Got Yours · Bust It Big · Little Lilly · Fishwater · Travelin' Light · Hatfield · ✓ Disco · ✓ Jack · One Arm Steve
opus called — ✓ Pigeons · ✓ Greta · Pleas · Space Wrangler · Fishwater · Tie Your Shoes · Hatfield · All Time Low · Travelin' Light · ✓ Big Wooly Mammoth · ✓ Ribs and Whiskey · C. Brown · One Arm Steve · You Got Yours · Walkin' (For Your Love) · Bust It Big · Porch Song
We print every call we made and which ones hit (✓) — our own sealed predictions, never the whole setlist. See the official record → setlist.fm.
Out of Cold Storage
❄ what had been gone the longestSongs this band had not touched in a long time, coldest first. The tag is how deep into their own back catalogue it reaches.
- Ace of Spades112 shows coldlast played April 19, 2023cold
Coldest of the night: Ace of Spades, gone 112 shows. Gaps count shows, not days — and how cold is "cold" is measured against this band’s own history, so the bar moves with the catalogue. Full setlist → setlist.fm.