· The Reckoning · Thursday, July 23, 2026 · Orpheum Theatre — Los Angeles, CA
The Reckoning
✦ what we called · what we hitEvery guesser’s full sealed call, graded song by song — ✓ marks a hit. Most songs called won.
| Guesser | Model | Hit/Called | Hit % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | medium | stack-v1-rrf | 10/21 | 48% |
| 2. | house | m2-recency-hotness | 8/15 | 53% |
| 3. | opus | opus:claude-opus-4-5 | 8/17 | 47% |
| 4. | gpt | gpt:gpt-5.1 | 6/17 | 35% |
| 5. | crstlbl | m4-gbm | 5/14 | 36% |
| 6. | local | local:gemma3:latest | 5/20 | 25% |
medium called — Porch Song · Pigeons · Space Wrangler · ✓ Surprise Valley · ✓ Chilly Water · ✓ Henry Parsons Died · Disco · ✓ Rock · Action Man · Walkin' (For Your Love) · We Walk Each Other Home · Thought Sausage · ✓ Blue Indian · Travelin' Light · Makes Sense to Me · ✓ King Baby · ✓ Tall Boy · ✓ Saint Ex · Fishwater · ✓ Climb to Safety · ✓ Rebirtha
house called — ✓ Tall Boy · We Walk Each Other Home · Porch Song · ✓ Blue Indian · ✓ Surprise Valley · ✓ Climb to Safety · Disco · Travelin' Light · Halloween Face · ✓ Saint Ex · Jack · ✓ Chilly Water · ✓ Henry Parsons Died · ✓ Blight · Postcard
opus called — ✓ Tall Boy · ✓ Blue Indian · ✓ Chilly Water · Fishwater · Space Wrangler · Pigeons · ✓ Rock · Disco · Travelin' Light · ✓ Surprise Valley · Jack · Porch Song · ✓ Henry Parsons Died · Thought Sausage · Action Man · ✓ Blight · ✓ Saint Ex
gpt called — ✓ Chilly Water · Fishwater · Porch Song · Pigeons · ✓ Climb to Safety · ✓ Tall Boy · Disco · ✓ Surprise Valley · Postcard · All Time Low · ✓ Blue Indian · Action Man · Down · ✓ Rebirtha · Space Wrangler · Travelin' Light · Airplane
crstlbl called — Walkin' (For Your Love) · Pigeons · Space Wrangler · ✓ Surprise Valley · ✓ Rock · ✓ Chilly Water · Porch Song · ✓ Henry Parsons Died · Action Man · Makes Sense to Me · ✓ King Baby · Thought Sausage · Disco · We Walk Each Other Home
local called — Travelin' Light · ✓ Blue Indian · Porch Song · Space Wrangler · You Got Yours · ✓ Rebirtha · ✓ Rock · Airplane · ✓ Henry Parsons Died · Pigeons · Halloween Face · Walkin' (For Your Love) · Ribs and Whiskey · ✓ Saint Ex · Down · Trouble · Last Dance · Use Me · Quarter Tank of Gasoline · Wish You Were Here
We print every call we made and which ones hit (✓) — our own sealed predictions, never the whole setlist. See the official record → setlist.fm.
Out of Cold Storage
❄ what had been gone the longestSongs this band had not touched in a long time, coldest first. The tag is how deep into their own back catalogue it reaches.
- Papa Legba112 shows coldlast played April 18, 202313.8× its usual spacingcold
Coldest of the night: Papa Legba, gone 112 shows. Gaps count shows, not days — and how cold is "cold" is measured against this band’s own history, so the bar moves with the catalogue. Full setlist → setlist.fm.