· The Reckoning · Tuesday, July 21, 2026 · Channel 24 — Sacramento, CA
The Reckoning
✦ what we called · what we hitEvery guesser’s full sealed call, graded song by song — ✓ marks a hit. Most songs called won.
| Guesser | Model | Hit/Called | Hit % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | crstlbl | m4-gbm | 5/16 | 31% |
| 2. | opus | opus:claude-opus-4-5 | 5/17 | 29% |
| 3. | medium | stack-v1-rrf | 5/20 | 25% |
| 4. | house | m2-recency-hotness | 4/15 | 27% |
| 5. | local | local:gemma3:latest | 4/17 | 24% |
| 6. | gpt | gpt:gpt-5.1 | 3/17 | 18% |
crstlbl called — ✓ Conrad · ✓ Wondering · ✓ Barstools and Dreamers · Pickin' Up the Pieces · Porch Song · ✓ Blackout Blues · Henry Parsons Died · Rock · Chilly Water · ✓ Diner · Makes Sense to Me · Action Man · Sleeping Man · Blue Carousel · We Walk Each Other Home · Surprise Valley
opus called — Second Skin · Surprise Valley · Jack · Disco · Chilly Water · Rock · Travelin' Light · Henry Parsons Died · Porch Song · Blue Indian · ✓ Barstools and Dreamers · Thought Sausage · ✓ Bear's Gone Fishin' · ✓ Blackout Blues · ✓ Wondering · ✓ Diner · Tall Boy
medium called — Henry Parsons Died · ✓ Diner · Porch Song · ✓ Barstools and Dreamers · ✓ Wondering · Chilly Water · Rock · Surprise Valley · ✓ Blackout Blues · Action Man · Makes Sense to Me · We Walk Each Other Home · ✓ Conrad · Pickin' Up the Pieces · Sleeping Man · Blue Carousel · Blue Indian · Travelin' Light · Tall Boy · Saint Ex
house called — Tall Boy · We Walk Each Other Home · Porch Song · Climb to Safety · Blue Indian · Surprise Valley · ✓ Blackout Blues · Saint Ex · Jack · ✓ Wondering · ✓ Bear's Gone Fishin' · Chilly Water · Henry Parsons Died · ✓ Diner · Disco
local called — Blue Indian · Travelin' Light · Henry Parsons Died · Saint Ex · Rock · ✓ Barstools and Dreamers · ✓ Diner · ✓ Pilgrims · ✓ Wondering · Action Man · Makes Sense to Me · Postcard · Second Skin · Sewing Machine · Protein Drink · Down · Halloween Face
gpt called — Porch Song · Chilly Water · Tall Boy · Climb to Safety · ✓ Diner · ✓ Pilgrims · ✓ Barstools and Dreamers · Henry Parsons Died · Travelin' Light · Disco · Surprise Valley · Action Man · Saint Ex · Rock · Postcard · Sewing Machine · Protein Drink
We print every call we made and which ones hit (✓) — our own sealed predictions, never the whole setlist. See the official record → setlist.fm.
Out of Cold Storage
❄ what had been gone the longestSongs this band had not touched in a long time, coldest first. The tag is how deep into their own back catalogue it reaches.
- Ophelia96 shows coldlast played August 26, 20234.6× its usual spacingcold
Coldest of the night: Ophelia, gone 96 shows. Gaps count shows, not days — and how cold is "cold" is measured against this band’s own history, so the bar moves with the catalogue. Full setlist → setlist.fm.