· The Reckoning · Thursday, July 16, 2026 · Fox Theater — Oakland, CA
The Reckoning
✦ what we called · what we hitEvery guesser’s full sealed call, graded song by song — ✓ marks a hit. Most songs called won.
| Guesser | Model | Hit/Called | Hit % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | medium | stack-v1-rrf | 8/21 | 38% |
| 2. | crstlbl | m4-gbm | 7/16 | 44% |
| 3. | opus | opus:claude-opus-4-5 | 7/19 | 37% |
| 4. | house | m2-recency-hotness | 5/17 | 29% |
| 5. | gpt | gpt:gpt-5.1 | 4/18 | 22% |
| 6. | local | local:gemma3:latest | 2/20 | 10% |
medium called — ✓ Pigeons · Ain't Life Grand · Drums · Driving Song · Greta · ✓ Space Wrangler · ✓ Fishwater · Little by Little · ✓ All Time Low · ✓ King Baby · Machine · Little Kin · C. Brown · ✓ Walkin' (For Your Love) · Papa's Home · ✓ Rebirtha · Barstools and Dreamers · ✓ Better Off · Porch Song · Pleas · Blackout Blues
crstlbl called — Ain't Life Grand · C. Brown · Drums · ✓ Space Wrangler · Driving Song · ✓ Walkin' (For Your Love) · Papa's Home · ✓ Fishwater · Greta · ✓ Pigeons · Little by Little · Little Kin · ✓ All Time Low · ✓ King Baby · Machine · ✓ Better Off
opus called — Chilly Water · ✓ Pigeons · Ain't Life Grand · ✓ Space Wrangler · ✓ Fishwater · Driving Song · ✓ Rebirtha · Henry Parsons Died · Drums · Greta · ✓ King Baby · Rock · Barstools and Dreamers · ✓ All Time Low · Tie Your Shoes · Machine · Second Skin · Pleas · ✓ Ribs and Whiskey
house called — Little by Little · Drums · Porch Song · Pleas · ✓ All Time Low · Greta · Bust It Big · Driving Song · Blackout Blues · Holden Oversoul · ✓ Rebirtha · Tie Your Shoes · ✓ King Baby · Barstools and Dreamers · Ain't Life Grand · ✓ Pigeons · ✓ Ribs and Whiskey
gpt called — Ain't Life Grand · Conrad · Chilly Water · ✓ Fishwater · ✓ Pigeons · Driving Song · ✓ Rebirtha · Bust It Big · Pleas · Porch Song · ✓ Space Wrangler · Henry Parsons Died · Rock · Little Lilly · Hatfield · Sleeping Man · Barstools and Dreamers · Blackout Blues
local called — Little by Little · Drums · Holden Oversoul · Porch Song · Greta · Blackout Blues · Travelin' Light · ✓ Rebirtha · Rock · I'm Not Alone · Barstools and Dreamers · Tie Your Shoes · ✓ Pigeons · Up All Night · Dark Bar · Hatfield · Machine · Little Kin · Flicker · Sandbox
We print every call we made and which ones hit (✓) — our own sealed predictions, never the whole setlist. See the official record → setlist.fm.
Out of Cold Storage
❄ what had been gone the longestSongs this band had not touched in a long time, coldest first. The tag is how deep into their own back catalogue it reaches.
- Time Zones83 shows coldlast played December 30, 20239.0× its usual spacingcold
Coldest of the night: Time Zones, gone 83 shows. Gaps count shows, not days — and how cold is "cold" is measured against this band’s own history, so the bar moves with the catalogue. Full setlist → setlist.fm.