· The Reckoning · Wednesday, July 8, 2026 · KettleHouse Amphitheater — Bonner, MT
The Reckoning
✦ what we called · what we hitEvery guesser’s full sealed call, graded song by song — ✓ marks a hit. Most songs called won.
| Guesser | Model | Hit/Called | Hit % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | gpt | gpt:gpt-5.1 | 8/19 | 42% |
| 2. | crstlbl | m4-gbm | 7/15 | 47% |
| 3. | medium | stack-v1-rrf | 7/20 | 35% |
| 4. | opus | opus:claude-opus-4-5 | 5/14 | 36% |
| 5. | house | m2-recency-hotness | 5/16 | 31% |
gpt called — ✓ Chilly Water · Fishwater · ✓ Porch Song · Greta · Diner · ✓ Barstools and Dreamers · ✓ Holden Oversoul · Goodpeople · Climb to Safety · Ride Me High · ✓ Drums · Pilgrims · You Got Yours · ✓ Blackout Blues · ✓ Travelin' Light · ✓ Rock · North · All Time Low · Second Skin
crstlbl called — ✓ Drums · Machine · Love Tractor · ✓ Little by Little · ✓ Barstools and Dreamers · ✓ Porch Song · ✓ Holden Oversoul · ✓ Chilly Water · Diner · ✓ Honky Red · Imitation Leather Shoes · Disco · Blue Indian · Aunt Avis · Wondering
medium called — ✓ Drums · ✓ Holden Oversoul · ✓ Barstools and Dreamers · ✓ Chilly Water · ✓ Porch Song · Blue Indian · ✓ Little by Little · Machine · Love Tractor · Diner · Disco · Wondering · ✓ Honky Red · Imitation Leather Shoes · Aunt Avis · Fishwater · Greta · Climb to Safety · Ride Me High · Surprise Valley
opus called — ✓ Chilly Water · Fishwater · Blue Indian · ✓ Holden Oversoul · ✓ Barstools and Dreamers · Disco · ✓ Rock · Climb to Safety · ✓ Drums · Machine · Jack · Surprise Valley · Greta · Wondering
house called — ✓ Little by Little · Ride Me High · ✓ Drums · All Time Low · Greta · Climb to Safety · Surprise Valley · ✓ Porch Song · Love Tractor · Blue Indian · ✓ Blackout Blues · Goodpeople · Big Wooly Mammoth · ✓ Holden Oversoul · Saint Ex · Fishwater
We print every call we made and which ones hit (✓) — our own sealed predictions, never the whole setlist. See the official record → setlist.fm.
Out of Cold Storage
❄ what had been gone the longestSongs this band had not touched in a long time, coldest first. The tag is how deep into their own back catalogue it reaches.
- Nobody's Fault but Mine111 shows coldlast played March 5, 20232.5× its usual spacingcold
Coldest of the night: Nobody's Fault but Mine, gone 111 shows. Gaps count shows, not days — and how cold is "cold" is measured against this band’s own history, so the bar moves with the catalogue. Full setlist → setlist.fm.