· The Reckoning · Saturday, July 18, 2026 · Merriweather Post Pavilion — Columbia, MD
Every guesser’s full sealed call, graded song by song — ✓ marks a hit. Most songs called won.
| Guesser | Model | Hit/Called | Hit % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | gpt | gpt:gpt-5.1 | 3/19 | 16% |
| 2. | house | m2-recency-hotness | 2/19 | 11% |
| 3. | local | local:gemma3:latest | 1/19 | 5% |
| 4. | opus | opus:claude-opus-4-5 | 1/19 | 5% |
| 5. | crstlbl | m4-gbm | 0/19 | 0% |
| 6. | medium | stack-v1-rrf | 0/19 | 0% |
gpt called — Tweezer · Bathtub Gin · Down with Disease · ✓ You Enjoy Myself · Twist · No Men In No Man's Land · Wolfman's Brother · Cavern · Harry Hood · ✓ Run Like an Antelope · ✓ Free · The Moma Dance · Blaze On · Fuego · A Wave of Hope · Ruby Waves · Also Sprach Zarathustra · Slave to the Traffic Light · Simple
house called — Chalk Dust Torture · Harry Hood · Tweezer Reprise · Fuego · Sand · First Tube · ✓ What's Going Through Your Mind · Ghost · ✓ Life Saving Gun · A Wave of Hope · Mike's Song · Weekapaug Groove · Carini · Wolfman's Brother · Character Zero · Blaze On · Slave to the Traffic Light · Ruby Waves · Back on the Train
local called — Harry Hood · Sigma Oasis · Tweezer · Carini · First Tube · Fuego · A Wave of Hope · Character Zero · Down with Disease · ✓ You Enjoy Myself · Reba · Wolfman's Brother · Cavern · Also Sprach Zarathustra · Stash · Possum · Say It To Me S.A.N.T.O.S. · Bathtub Gin · Waste
opus called — Tweezer · Stash · Bathtub Gin · AC/DC Bag · Reba · Simple · Everything's Right · Split Open and Melt · 46 Days · Carini · Theme from the Bottom · Golden Age · Light · Also Sprach Zarathustra · Tweezer Reprise · Buried Alive · Evolve · Drowned · ✓ Contact
crstlbl called — 46 Days · Bathtub Gin · Split Open and Melt · Divided Sky · Simple · Halley's Comet · Also Sprach Zarathustra · Stash · Piper · Carini · AC/DC Bag · Punch You in the Eye · Theme from the Bottom · Rift · My Soul · Everything's Right · Tweezer · Reba · Birds of a Feather
medium called — Bathtub Gin · Carini · Tweezer · Also Sprach Zarathustra · Simple · Stash · Reba · 46 Days · Split Open and Melt · AC/DC Bag · Theme from the Bottom · Everything's Right · Divided Sky · Halley's Comet · Piper · Punch You in the Eye · Rift · My Soul · Birds of a Feather
We print every call we made and which ones hit (✓) — our own sealed predictions, never the whole setlist. See the official record → phish.net.
Songs this band had not touched in a long time, coldest first. The tag is how deep into their own back catalogue it reaches.
Coldest of the night: Have Mercy, gone 241 shows. Gaps count shows, not days — and how cold is "cold" is measured against this band’s own history, so the bar moves with the catalogue. Full setlist → phish.net.