· The Reckoning · Tuesday, June 23, 2026 · Firefly Distillery — North Charleston, SC
Every guesser’s full sealed call, graded song by song — ✓ marks a hit. Most songs called won.
| Guesser | Model | Hit/Called | Hit % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | gpt | gpt:gpt-5.1 | 5/12 | 42% |
| 2. | house | m2-recency-hotness | 5/12 | 42% |
| 3. | opus | opus:claude-opus-4-5 | 4/12 | 33% |
| 4. | local | local:gemma4:e4b | 3/12 | 25% |
gpt called — ✓ So Ready · Red Bird · Atlas Dogs · ✓ Creatures · Arcadia · A Western Sun · Turned Clouds · Rosewood Heart · ✓ All I Need · Drive · ✓ Silver Rising · ✓ Dr. Darkness
house called — ✓ Animal · Tumble · Iguana Song · ✓ So Ready · Arcadia · ✓ Creatures · ✓ Royal · Hot Love & The Lazy Poet · Draconian Meter Maid · ✓ Silver Rising · Atlas Dogs · Drive
opus called — Arcadia · ✓ Creatures · ✓ Silver Rising · Flodown · Red Bird · Drive · ✓ So Ready · Jive Lee · ✓ Bob Don · Tumble · Atlas Dogs · Rosewood Heart
local called — California Magic · Arcadia · ✓ Silver Rising · ✓ Madalena · Tumble · Atlas Dogs · Honeybee · Pumped Up Kicks · ✓ Atlas · Me & My Uncle · The Way It Is · The Old Man's Boat
We print every call we made and which ones hit (✓) — our own sealed predictions, never the whole setlist. See the official record → El Goose.
Songs this band had not touched in a long time, coldest first. The tag is how deep into their own back catalogue it reaches.
Coldest of the night: Jeff Engborg, gone 70 shows. Gaps count shows, not days — and how cold is "cold" is measured against this band’s own history, so the bar moves with the catalogue. Full setlist → El Goose.